SPIRITUAL AND GEOPOLITICAL RIVALRY AT THE BRINK OF THE XXI CENTURY
. The urge for civilizational «expansionism» is conditioned not so much by ones own potential aggressiveness but by the weakness of others that provokes an urge to fill the vacuum. We see conflicts between West European liberalism and its «debillic cousin» — communism — giving way to much more serious confrontation of some awakened forces.
What the world is witnessing is hardly Russias entry into the «civilized world community» but rather quite a real competition for the «Russian heritage». A mere year has passed since the overhasty division of the triune Orthodox core — Russians, Ukrainians and Belorussians — yet prerequisites have already been created for the Vaticans and Polands age-old dream of embracing Kiev — Mother of Russian Cities — first spiritually and them also physically. The destruction of the historical Russian state also hit Yugoslavia, confirming the inseparability of the Orthodox slaves plights. The hasty recognition of subjects of the Yugoslav federation, a founder of the UN and a signatory to the Helsinki Final Act, under which all other signatories guaranteed the territorial integrity of precisely the federation, not of its parts, resulted in dismemberment of the Serbian nation hardly can be taken as «new» thinking.
Over a period of three hundred years, Russia drew Central Asian peoples into its orbit. They have now been left to the mercy of fate by a Russian purely West-oriented policy lacking so much as a hint of geostrategy. These peoples are understandably casting about for a different orientation. Their reorientation to countries naturally competing for spheres of influence — Turkey, Iran, Afghanistan, the latter already spreading a canopy of terror, unrest and death over the Tajiks — threatens global changes in the civilizational equilibrium, military strategic balance and geopolitical character of Eurasia and also program inevitable conflicts of interests between closely located Afganistan, Pakistan and India and China.
Turkey, usually described as pursuing an «Atlanticist line», already betrays impatience regarding Sunnite Central Asia. It appears also that the idea of a «Greater Turan» was merely dormant while there were no conditions for their revival.
It is hard to be enchanted by the grotesque regimes of Libya and Iraq, which constantly shock the world by pointedly rejecting any rules of behaviour. But it is unpardonable for a professional analyst to overlook the fact that the disappearance of the traditional Russian counterweight is merely radicalising the ways of those «exponents of the Asian spirit» trying its own in an original manner against the growing pressure of «the Western World» as embodied by the United States.
Many things in the Soviet Union and in the worlds attitude to its agony are associable with the 1917 Russian tragedy. One could not help recalling American president Woodrow Wilson of the time of Revolution and Versailles. In a very similar situation where Russia seemed to have fallen apart for all time and there was no direct threat to the United States, any more than there is now, Wilson proposed his «Fourteen Points» for the restructuring of the world. Afterwards that programme, which talked a lot about democracy and freedom, was long regarded as a model of «new political thinking» whose beams completely outshone the «imperial and hence decadent» political thought of the Old World.
Yet the decoded in «the Intimate Papers of Colonel House» «democratic» Point VI insisted on withdrawing of all «foreign» troops (The Red and the White army) and recognizing all governments existing de facto (that is, without regard to whether they were legitimate) in order to have «a clean slate on which to write a policy for all the Russian peoples».
The current policy of some omnipresent interests towards Russia warrants calling it «neo-Wilsonism». As under the Wilson programme, much is being done to prevent reintegration by reorienting the historical parts of a millennium old state to new trustees — Turkey, Germany, the NATO or the Central Asian states. Now the way is being paved for the admission of Eastern Europe and even parts of historical Russian state to NATO all this leading to the departure from the configurations laid as foundation to such valuable Treaty as the CAFE Treaty. No less dangerous to the independence and sovereignty of whole world is the recent NATOs going beyond the geographical zone of the North-Atlantic Treaty under the aegis of the UN, which is becoming the World Government…
Do these neo-Wilsonists duly assess history and show enough of historical responsibility while they carelessly destroy Russias centuries long work in Europe and in the South thus provoking civilisational impetus that they will never be able to curb and control in the century to come?
It is not only for the sake of its own interests but for the stability of the whole of the Mediterranean sub-region that we must state Russias geopolitical interests in no uncertain terms not only in the Baltic but in the Black Sea by maintaining of the Sevastopol as base for the Russian Black sea fleet. Returning Russia to the «situation after the Crimean War» is abnormal. If this happens the world will face not only the symptoms of the XIX century «Eastern issue» (they are already there) but its unprecedented religious, interethnic and military implications together with the resurrection of some kind of pan-turkist and pan-islamist ideas in Europe bringing out the new spiral of the centuries long European-Asian contradiction
- Russia in the New Geopolitical Context (part II)
- Эволюция режима Путина. Внутренний круг и внешние преграды.
- Центральная Азия и Кавказ: новое поле боя ("The Washington Quarterly", США)
- Центральная Азия и Кавказ: новое поле боя («The Washington Quarterly», США)
- Russia in the New Geopolitical Context
- Истоки поведения России
- В Нью-Йорке состоялась презентация книги «Город из стали. Сталинградская битва глазами британских и американских газет»